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Walmart (WMT) Stock: Price, Chart & AI Analysis

Since its founding in 1962, Walmart has become the world’s largest retailer, operating over 10,700 stores globally (including 4,600 namesake locations on its home turf and another 600 Sam’s Club outlets) and growing its e-commerce presence, attracting 270 million customers weekly... Show more

WMT
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A.I.Advisor
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A.I.Advisor
Aug 17, 2026

Walmart (WMT) Stock Analysis: E-Commerce and Advertising Momentum Meet a Cautious Consumer

Key Takeaways

  • Walmart shares closed at $115.27 on August 14, 2026, up about 2.4% over the prior 30 days and down roughly 12.3% over the trailing three months.
  • The 30-day move remains modest, keeping the focus on Walmart’s business execution, consumer spending trends, and upcoming earnings rather than a sharp repricing event.
  • Fiscal 2027 first-quarter revenue rose 7.3% year over year to $177.8 billion, while adjusted EPS of $0.66 matched consensus expectations.
  • Global e-commerce sales grew 26% and global advertising revenue rose 37%, reinforcing Walmart’s higher-margin digital and membership flywheel.
  • Analyst sentiment remains broadly positive, with a consensus Buy rating and an average price target near $137.98, though valuation and pharmacy-related concerns have tempered near-term enthusiasm.
  • The next major catalyst is Walmart’s fiscal 2027 second-quarter earnings report scheduled for August 20, 2026.

Current Market Snapshot

Walmart closed at $115.27 on August 14, 2026, down 0.39% for the session. The stock’s 52-week range is $95.42 to $135.16, with the high set on May 19, 2026. At recent levels, Walmart carries a market capitalization of roughly $917 billion and a dividend yield near 0.86%.

The stock has been resilient over the past 30 days, gaining about 2.4% from the July 15 close of $112.53, but it remains well below its spring peak after a post-earnings pullback in late May. Broader consumer staples positioning has been supported by steady grocery demand and trade-down activity, while elevated valuation multiples and cautious guidance have kept the stock in a wide range.

Walmart (WMT) Business Overview and Competitive Position

Walmart is the world’s largest retailer by revenue and operates as a people-led, technology-powered omnichannel retailer. The company serves approximately 280 million customers and members weekly through more than 10,900 stores and e-commerce platforms across 19 countries. Its core segments include Walmart U.S., Walmart International, and Sam’s Club, supported by a growing digital ecosystem spanning marketplace, fulfillment, advertising, and membership offerings.

Walmart’s competitive strengths include unmatched grocery scale, price leadership, supply-chain efficiency, and a rapidly expanding higher-margin services business. Advertising, membership income, and data-driven commerce solutions are becoming more important contributors to operating profit, giving investors a lens on both retail execution and digital monetization.

Recent Developments Driving WMT

Walmart’s fiscal 2027 first-quarter results, reported in May, showed revenue of $177.8 billion, up 7.3% year over year, while adjusted EPS of $0.66 matched expectations. Walmart U.S. comparable sales rose 4.1%, and Sam’s Club comparable sales excluding fuel increased 3.9%. Global e-commerce growth of 26% and global advertising growth of 37% highlighted momentum in higher-margin initiatives, but shares fell after management issued second-quarter adjusted EPS guidance of $0.72 to $0.74, below the consensus estimate of $0.75.

In recent weeks, Walmart shares have recovered from a late-July dip near $108 to trade back above $115. Analyst commentary has been mixed: Bernstein reiterated an Outperform rating and $145 price target in mid-July, arguing that price-investment concerns were overdone, while Oppenheimer downgraded the stock to Perform from Outperform in early August, citing pharmacy headwinds, a rich valuation, and Street forecasts that leave less room for upside. Several other firms maintained Buy ratings in mid-August ahead of earnings.

Macro themes are also shaping sentiment. Management has pointed to elevated fuel and healthcare costs, while noting that persistent cost pressures could produce somewhat higher retail price inflation in the second half of the year. Against that backdrop, Walmart continues to attract budget-conscious and higher-income shoppers seeking value, supporting traffic and grocery share gains.

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2026 Outlook and What Investors Should Watch

Walmart’s August 20 earnings report will be a key test of whether the company can deliver second-quarter results near or above the high end of its guidance while addressing concerns about pharmacy pricing, fuel costs, and operating margins. Investors should watch revenue growth relative to the company’s 4% to 5% constant-currency outlook, adjusted EPS relative to the $0.72 to $0.74 range, and commentary on full-year guidance of $2.75 to $2.85 per share.

Beyond earnings, the investment narrative centers on whether advertising, membership, marketplace, and fulfillment efficiency can keep expanding margins even as the core retail business faces cost pressures. Competitive dynamics also matter, including price investments from Kroger (KR), Target (TGT), Amazon (AMZN), and Costco (COST). Macroeconomic factors such as inflation, fuel prices, consumer sentiment, and trade policy may continue to influence both consumer behavior and Walmart’s cost structure. Because the stock trades at a premium to its historical forward earnings multiple, execution and guidance will remain central to investor confidence.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for WMT with price predictions
Aug 18, 2026

WMT in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on August 18, 2026

WMT moved above its 50-day moving average on August 18, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In of 43 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on August 04, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on WMT as a result. In of 71 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for WMT just turned positive on July 27, 2026. Looking at past instances where WMT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where WMT advanced for three days, in of 373 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 4 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

The 50-day moving average for WMT moved below the 200-day moving average on July 27, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where WMT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

WMT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for WMT entered a downward trend on July 31, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 62, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. WMT’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (9.718) is normal, around the industry mean (7.241). P/E Ratio (40.563) is within average values for comparable stocks, (38.289). WMT's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (4.391) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.913). Dividend Yield (0.008) settles around the average of (0.014) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.272) is also within normal values, averaging (1.070).

A.I.Advisor
published Dividends

WMT is expected to pay dividends on September 08, 2026

Walmart WMT Stock Dividends
A dividend of $0.25 per share will be paid with a record date of September 08, 2026, and an ex-dividend date of August 21, 2026. The last dividend of $0.25 was paid on May 26. Read more...
A.I.Advisor
published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Walmart (NASDAQ:WMT), Costco Wholesale Corp (NASDAQ:COST), Target Corp (NYSE:TGT), Dollar General Corp (NYSE:DG), Dollar Tree (NASDAQ:DLTR).

Industry description

Companies in the discount stores industry specialize in offering substantial discounts on a vast array of retail products. Some companies in this industry also operate general merchandise warehouse clubs. Products sold at discount stores are typically similar to those of any department store, but the pricing of the goods is generally much lower (and hence the name “discount”). Think Dollar General Corporation, Dollar Tree, Inc. and Five Below, Inc. Many discount stores target low-income households and/or price-sensitive consumers as their potential market. Discount stores’ profitability could hinge on factors like competitive pricing, sufficient locations, healthy revenue per square foot, and effective advertisement. These store operators could have an edge over other retailers during financial crises or recessions, when many consumers could be looking for less expensive alternatives.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Discount Stores Industry is 165.75B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.78K to 916.77B. WMT holds the highest valuation in this group at 916.77B. The lowest valued company is TUEMQ at 1.78K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Discount Stores Industry was 3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 6%, and the average quarterly price growth was 3%. TBBB experienced the highest price growth at 16%, while OLLI experienced the biggest fall at -3%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Discount Stores Industry was 28%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -15% and the average quarterly volume growth was -58%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 77
P/E Growth Rating: 58
Price Growth Rating: 48
SMR Rating: 50
Profit Risk Rating: 62
Seasonality Score: -30 (-100 ... +100)
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a retail discount department store

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Walmart (WMT) Stock Analysis: E-Commerce and Advertising Momentum Meet a Cautious Consumer